4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
descriptive claim

The speaker says rumors about lab training runs suggest significant difficulties in increasing pre-training scale.

Dwarkesh Patel · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“every single layer of this has been much harder than the strongest optimist expected it seems like there have been significant difficulties in increasing the pre-training size at least from rumors about field training runs or underwhelming training runs at labs it seems like building up these arlen i'm like total outside view i know nothing about the actual engineering involved there but just from an outside view it seems like building up the o1 like rl clearly took”
10:51Report a misattribution
0.55how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.75importance to the conversation
0.85confidence the claim was read correctly
The speaker says rumors about lab training runs suggest significant … · Savlar