Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 20 Oct 2026
prediction claim

In the scenario's August 2027 alignment crisis, warning signs are noticed within the AI system; one branch slows down to investigate and fix the issues, while the other continues with a shallow patch amid competitive pressure and inconclusive evidence.

Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“alignment crisis where they like notice some warning signs like this uh in their like sort of hive mind right and um in the in the branch where they slow down and fix the issues then great they slow down and fix the issues and figured out what was going on but then in the other branch because of the race dynamics and because it's not like a super smoking gun”
“they proceed with some sort of like shallow patch you know so so i do expect there to be warning signs like that and then if they do make those decisions in the race dynamics earlier on then i think that when the systems are like vastly super intelligent and they're even more powerful because they've been deployed halfway through the economy already and everyone's getting really scared by the news reports about the new chinese killer drones or whatever the chinese ais are building on the side of the pacific i'm imagining basically just like similar things playing out so that even”
Play from 1:26:52Report a misattribution
90%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
95%importance to the conversation
97%confidence the claim was read correctly