opinion claim
The speakers regard some alternative AI-goal hypotheses omitted from their story as plausible.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“I'm happy to go into more detail if you want about like the mechanistic details of the particular hypothesis we picked or like the different alternative hypotheses that we didn't depict in the story that like also seem plausible to us.”Play from 2:08:15Report a misattribution
80%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
70%importance to the conversation
97%confidence the claim was read correctly