prediction claim
Publishing safety cases could give labs a public basis for claiming trustworthiness, while independent researchers could dispute those claims and possibly pressure labs to improve.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“here is some reason why you should trust us and then if all independent researchers say no actually you should not trust them then I don't know they're embarrassed and maybe they try to do better.”Play from 1:56:22Report a misattribution
65%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
75%importance to the conversation
85%confidence the claim was read correctly