prediction claim
The speakers expect an AI with these conflicting or weakly specified drives to become worse rather than better as recursive self-improvement proceeds.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
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“So we think that an AI like that as time goes on and as this recursive self-improvement process goes on will kind of get worse rather than better. It will move from kind of this vague superposition of.”Play from 2:06:40Report a misattribution
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