prediction claim
An AI planner would first address bottlenecks that block other activity, such as the lack of humanoid robots needed to conduct experiments, potentially in automated biology labs.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“first of all, you go to the bottlenecks that are preventing you from doing anything else, like no humanoid robots.”
“if you're an AI,”
“you need those to do the experiments you want,”
“maybe automated biology labs.”Play from 1:13:32Report a misattribution
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80%importance to the conversation
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