prediction claim
The speaker estimates a 35–40% chance that some event recognizable as a takeover occurs by 2040.
Ryan Greenblatt · Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research? · 11 Aug 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“Maybe around 35 or 40%.”Play from 2:08:07Report a misattribution
65%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
98%importance to the conversation
98%confidence the claim was read correctly