4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
prediction claim

The speaker estimates a 35–40% chance that some event recognizable as a takeover occurs by 2040.

Ryan Greenblatt · Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research? · 11 Aug 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“Maybe around 35 or 40%.”
2:08:07Report a misattribution
0.65how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.98importance to the conversation
0.98confidence the claim was read correctly