opinion claim
The speaker says that the 80% of scenarios in which humanity survives include many outcomes they regard as very bad.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“So that 80% of scenarios where we survive contains a lot of really bad things that I'm not happy about.”Play from 1:37:13Report a misattribution
95%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
90%importance to the conversation
98%confidence the claim was read correctly