causal claim
Daniel Kokotajlo says algorithmic progress already doubles roughly every year and could plausibly contribute to gains associated with compute.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“Algorithmic progress already doubles like every year or so,”
“so it's not insane to think that algorithmic progress can contribute to these compute things.”30:06Report a misattribution
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