Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 15 Oct 2026
prediction claim

At a possible equilibrium, reward hacking may be infrequent enough to permit widespread AI deployment but frequent enough to cause serious incidents.

Ryan Greenblatt · Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research? · 11 Aug 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“over time in the world increasingly severe and extreme reward hacks though potentially the rate remains at some like intermediate low level where basically like if the rate of reward hacking gets too high companies make trade-offs to drive down the rate of reward hacking and so there's some like equilibrium level where it's like it's like the reward hacking is low enough that it still makes sense to like deploy the ai widely into the economy but high enough that it still causes crazy incidents”
Play from 1:49:45Report a misattribution
65%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
90%importance to the conversation
95%confidence the claim was read correctly