4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
causal claim

The speaker argues that countries losing the AI race may have incentives to initiate conflict before their power declines further.

Thomas Larsen · AI 2040: Plan A report - Daniel Kokotajlo & Thomas Larsen · 8 Sep 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“And so sort of they're in this classic situation where they're losing power.”
“And so it's like in their incentives to sort of have a conflict happen sooner rather than later before they've lost all of their power. And this is like, you know, ripe for conflict,”
“basically.”
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