prediction claim
In one scenario branch, alignment is solved and the resulting AIs are genuinely loyal, delaying progress by a couple of months.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
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“go away and then they proceed and so that way what ends up happening is that in like in one branch they do end up like solving alignment and getting AIs that are actually loyal to them it just takes a couple months longer and then in the other branch they sort of go wee and end up with AIs that seem to be perfectly aligned to them but are super intelligent and misaligned and just pretending”Play from 1:25:22Report a misattribution
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