In the hypothetical, discoveries since 2017 might have occurred about five times faster because small-scale experiments for testing ideas before large training runs would have run faster.

“all those things would still have to happen how much faster would they happen maybe 5x faster because uh because a lot of the like small-scale experiments that these people”

“people do in order to like test out ideas really quickly before they do the big training runs would happen much faster because they're just like lickety split being spit out um i'm not very confident in that 5x number it could be lower it could be higher but that was sort of like roughly what we were guessing our 5x by the way is for the algorithmic progress part not for the overall thing”