4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
prediction claim

The speaker expects that next year or possibly the following year, AI may automate AI progress and make it proceed three times faster, creating a high-stakes situation.

Unresolved speaker · Noam Brown – Agent swarms, alignment, & recursive self-improvement · 17 Sep 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“yeah maybe there's not an answer and this is this is really what it comes down to but i how will we know that we've solved it seems like a very cruxy question i think we're gonna be in this very high stakes situation next year maybe the year after that maybe the year after that where we'll be like okay ai's have automated ai progress it's going 3x faster”
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