4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
prediction claim

SPEAKER_01 expects the change from today to technological maturity to be orders of magnitude greater than the change from the 1500s to today.

Tamay Besiroglu · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“Question is even worse than that, because I think the amount of change that happens between today and technological maturity is just orders of magnitude greater than whatever change happened between the 1500s and today.”
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0.85how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.80importance to the conversation
0.96confidence the claim was read correctly
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