prediction claim
SPEAKER_01 expects the change from today to technological maturity to be orders of magnitude greater than the change from the 1500s to today.
Tamay Besiroglu · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“Question is even worse than that, because I think the amount of change that happens between today and technological maturity is just orders of magnitude greater than whatever change happened between the 1500s and today.”Play from 1:51:31Report a misattribution
85%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
80%importance to the conversation
96%confidence the claim was read correctly