The speaker expects that continuing AI progress since 2012, supported by substantial compute scaling, would likely lead AI to dominate humans in research and development, particularly over the next few years.

“and you just continue that on i mean i know if that's been powered by huge amounts of compute scaling and so forth but um uh it would be weird if like it just didn't get to the point where it could like dominate humans at least in r&d especially over the next few years there's going to be ryan greenbaum was on the podcast recently and he made this point that you could imagine as ais get more and more capable and are capable of making progress on”