prediction claim
A technological lead could create an arms-race dynamic, but it is uncertain whether a one-year lead would be sufficient to make a country willing to risk war.
Unresolved speaker · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“I mean, I think it would to some extent,”
“but I'm not sure if I would expect that a year of lead to be.”2:24:33Report a misattribution
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