prediction claim
The speaker's AI timelines would lengthen if a war with China destroyed most chips in missile attacks.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2040: Plan A report - Daniel Kokotajlo & Thomas Larsen · 8 Sept 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“So if there was a war with China and most of the chips get destroyed by missiles,”
“that would lengthen my timelines if on the bright”
“side.”Play from 1:26:01Report a misattribution
90%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
85%importance to the conversation
97%confidence the claim was read correctly