prediction claim
The speaker expects AI failure modes caused by systems being too unintelligent to understand their training to decrease as AI systems become smarter.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“you don't want it to really answer that and because it was so stupid it could not understand anything deeper than like pattern matching on the phrase is x real gpt4 doesn't do this if you ask are bugs real it will tell you obviously they are because it understands kind of on a deeper level what you are trying to do with the training so we definitely think that as ais get smarter those kind of”
“kind of failure modes will decrease.”Play from 2:04:28Report a misattribution
90%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
80%importance to the conversation
97%confidence the claim was read correctly