prediction claim
AI systems should be expected to make substantial progress on tasks that humans find impressive.
Tamay Besiroglu · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“Right, right, right. So but an important insight here is that, you know, the things that we find very impressive when humans are able to do it, we should expect that AI systems are able to make a lot more progress on that.”Play from 33:59Report a misattribution
80%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
70%importance to the conversation
96%confidence the claim was read correctly