prediction claim
Because the speaker does not fully accept an intelligence explosion, they consider it possible that multiple actors will deploy powerful AIs at once in a decentralized world that nevertheless contains advanced AI systems.
Dwarkesh Patel · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“code but i do think because i don't buy the intelligence explosion fully i do think there's the possibility of multiple people deploying powerful as at the same time and having a world that has as but is also decentralized the way the modern world is decentralized in that world i really worry about because you could just be like oh classical liberal utopia achieved um but i worry about the fact that you can just have these torture chambers for much cheaper and in a way that's much harder to monitor”Play from 2:24:55Report a misattribution
75%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
90%importance to the conversation
96%confidence the claim was read correctly