Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 20 Oct 2026
prediction claim

If superweapons and private moral atrocities are possible, the existing power centers would have a collective interest in bargaining to prevent more power centers from emerging.

Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“if it's true that some of those super weapons are possible and some of these like private moral atrocities are possible then even if you have like eight different power centers it's going to be like in their collective interest to come to some sort of bargain with each other Right. to like prevent more power centers from arising and doing crazy stuff similar to how nuclear non-proliferation is sort of like whatever set of countries have nukes it's like in their collective interest to like stop lots of other countries from getting nukes you know”
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