descriptive claim
The speaker says the AI alignment community did not really expect large language models, despite Nick Bostrom's Superintelligence discussing Oracle AIs that were somewhat like LLMs.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“Yeah, I think the alignment community did not really expect LLMs. I mean, if you look in Bostrom's superintelligence, there's a discussion of Oracle AIs, which are sort of like LLMs. I think that came as a surprise. I think one of the reasons I'm more hopeful than I used to be is that LLMs are great compared to the kind of reinforcement learning self.”1:30:49Report a misattribution
0.85how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.72importance to the conversation
0.94confidence the claim was read correctly