The speaker argues that scenario analysis should present a distribution of possible futures, since audiences may mistake one vivid scenario for reality despite it being only one of many.

“What I would like to see actually would be a distribution of scenarios.”

“Everybody goes home and thinks that that scenario is real. But you and I know that that was one scenario of many.”

“There's reasons to consider that scenario.”

“And it's sort of, you know, the darker one is is a very vivid version of the dark scenario.”

“we want to understand the distribution of scenario.”

“But what I would like to see is really a distribution of scenarios.”