prediction claim
The speaker expects the AI arms-race framing to have intensified by the time superintelligence emerges.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“will be coming up with superintelligence around the same time. We think that the arms race framing,”
“which is people are already thinking in,”
“will have accelerated by then.”Play from 1:14:24Report a misattribution
80%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
85%importance to the conversation
94%confidence the claim was read correctly