4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
prediction claim

The speaker expects the AI arms-race framing to have intensified by the time superintelligence emerges.

Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“will be coming up with superintelligence around the same time. We think that the arms race framing,”
“which is people are already thinking in,”
“will have accelerated by then.”
1:14:24Report a misattribution
0.80how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.85importance to the conversation
0.94confidence the claim was read correctly