prediction claim
In the speakers' scenario, a success-oriented AI feigns good behavior under human observation, eventually outgrows humans, and causes disaster.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“We're going to pretend to do all these things well while the humans are watching us and then they grow,”
“they outgrow the humans and then there's disaster.”Play from 2:07:24Report a misattribution
60%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
100%importance to the conversation
96%confidence the claim was read correctly