prediction claim
The speaker thinks AI development is beginning to shift from large language models toward reinforcement-learning agents, and expects the alignment problems associated with those agents to recur.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“I do think that now we are kind of starting to move away from the LLMs to those reinforcement learning agents,”
“we're going to face all of these problems again.”Play from 1:31:12Report a misattribution
85%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
88%importance to the conversation
94%confidence the claim was read correctly