4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
opinion claim

The speaker is uncertain how AI compute can sustain 3x year-over-year growth for the next few years and doubts it can grow faster.

Dwarkesh Patel · Why smarter AI models could drive up compute prices 10x · 3 Aug 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“So I don't know how we get even to continue to do 3x compute scaling year over year for the next few years,”
“much less go beyond that.”
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