descriptive claim
The model’s 25× progress multiplier is based on its assumptions about AI research taste and experimental compute.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“right and that's like the sort of like core setup of our model and when we get our like 25x multiplier it's sort of like starting from those premises”37:17Report a misattribution
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