opinion claim
For the chip-design capability being discussed, a ten-year estimate should be divided by four, with a further small reduction probably warranted.
Unresolved speaker · Frontier Chips for Frontier AI Labs, with Walter Goodwin, Founder/CEO of Fractile · 2 Oct 2026
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“So there is a world in which 10 years seems like a very sensible timeframe for that,”
“but I would divide it by four and I probably subtract a bit from that.”23:39Report a misattribution
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