prediction claim
The speaker offers a hypothetical model in which 90% of people accept factory-farm-like conditions for AIs and 10% care enough to lobby for good robot living conditions.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“like here's a simple model let's say like nine people out of ten just don't actually care and would be fine with the factory farm equivalent for the ai's going on into the future but maybe like one out of ten do care and would like lobby hard for good like living conditions for the robots and stuff um”Play from 2:24:11Report a misattribution
45%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
80%importance to the conversation
98%confidence the claim was read correctly