prediction claim
Ryan Greenblatt imagines that five more years of AI progress at the current pace would enable AI to perform complex real-world tasks such as improving companies, increasing chip production, and influencing legislation.
Dwarkesh Patel · Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research? · 11 Aug 2026
In their words
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“this is what i imagine five more years of ai progress at this pace would enable an ai to be able to do this is the thing i'm really worried about right like the asi that can like understand how to do crazy shit in the world like”Play from 24:05Report a misattribution
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90%importance to the conversation
94%confidence the claim was read correctly