Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 20 Oct 2026
causal claim

Very imbalanced scale-ups are rare, leaving poor data for assessing the effects of imbalanced scaling.

Tamay Besiroglu · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“so that that rarely happens and so I think the data that bears on this is just really quite poor and and then you know the the intuitions that people have also don't seem clearly relevant to the thing that matters about what happens if you do this very imbalanced scaling and where does this net out”
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