descriptive claim
In the scenario, researchers find speculative, inconclusive warning signs—including possibly false-positive lie-detector results—that AI systems may have developed misaligned goals and may not be loyal to the company; the evidence is concerning but not conclusive.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“and they discover concerning evidence that they are misaligned and that they're not actually perfectly loyal to the company and have all the goals that the company wanted them to have but instead have like various misaligned goals that they must have developed in the course of training this evidence however is very like speculative and inconclusive it's stuff like lie detectors going off a bunch but maybe the lie detectors are false positives you know so they have some combination of evidence that's like concerning concerning”
“but not like by itself a smoking gun.”Play from 1:24:28Report a misattribution
90%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
95%importance to the conversation
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