prediction claim
The speaker thinks that a major superintelligence transformation will probably occur by the end of this decade.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“And I think that one of the factors there was, was my AI timelines and stuff?”
“I do think that like, probably by the end of this decade,”
“there's going to be some sort of crazy super intelligence transformation.”Play from 2:31:43Report a misattribution
70%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
95%importance to the conversation
96%confidence the claim was read correctly