4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
prediction claim

The speaker thinks that a major superintelligence transformation will probably occur by the end of this decade.

Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“And I think that one of the factors there was, was my AI timelines and stuff?”
“I do think that like, probably by the end of this decade,”
“there's going to be some sort of crazy super intelligence transformation.”
2:31:43Report a misattribution
0.70how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.95importance to the conversation
0.96confidence the claim was read correctly