descriptive claim
The speaker's p(doom) estimate is around 70%, which he describes as infamously high.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“you might be doing is sort of infamously high like 70 yeah”Play from 1:33:17Report a misattribution
80%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
90%importance to the conversation
78%confidence the claim was read correctly