descriptive claim
The speaker's p(doom) estimate is around 70%, which he describes as infamously high.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“you might be doing is sort of infamously high like 70 yeah”1:33:17Report a misattribution
0.80how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.90importance to the conversation
0.78confidence the claim was read correctly