The speaker suspects that after low-hanging research fruit is exhausted around 2030, much AI research work will still involve increasingly complicated infrastructure and strong intuition about experimental design.

“And even in the regime where”

“your ais are like you know having to plow like it's the 20th it's 2030 they need to like a bunch of low-hanging fruit and research has already happened they need to like make further progress i still suspect that a bunch of the work will live more in the side of like building increasingly complicated infrastructure having really good intuition about what the experiments roughly look like and so i think i'm probably less sympathetic to like the like thing that the ais will lack is like some deep insight and more sympathetic to like they really need a bunch of like”