opinion claim
The speaker argues that people underestimate longer-term technology progress by focusing on what seems possible within the next four years, despite being able to identify further progress at each successive four-year horizon.
Chris Auth · What will computer chips look like in 2045? · 22 Oct 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“So we limit ourselves by what we see as possible in the next four years because, you know, as I've always said, you know, when people say, "Hey, you know, how do you see technology scaling going?"”
“It-- Yeah, we have visibility about four years, and then you get out to that four years and you go, "Yeah, I think there's something we can do another four years out of that." And you get to that four years and you're like, "Yeah, I think you can do something."”21:27Report a misattribution
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0.70importance to the conversation
0.91confidence the claim was read correctly