descriptive claim
Using the Industrial Revolution as an analogy, the speaker says it took about 2,000 years to occur without time travelers and considers whether it could be compressed to 200 years (10× faster) or 20 years (100× faster).
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“you know? And like, without people going back in time, it took, you know, 2000 years for the industrial revolution.”
“Could we get it to happen in 200 years?”
“You know, that's a 10x speed up.”
“Could we get it to happen in 20 years? That's 100x speed up.”Play from 1:07:06Report a misattribution
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