4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
descriptive claim

Using the Industrial Revolution as an analogy, the speaker says it took about 2,000 years to occur without time travelers and considers whether it could be compressed to 200 years (10× faster) or 20 years (100× faster).

Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“you know? And like, without people going back in time, it took, you know, 2000 years for the industrial revolution.”
“Could we get it to happen in 200 years?”
“You know, that's a 10x speed up.”
“Could we get it to happen in 20 years? That's 100x speed up.”
1:07:06Report a misattribution
0.90how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
0.70importance to the conversation
0.94confidence the claim was read correctly
Using the Industrial Revolution as an analogy, the speaker says it took about … · Savlar