prediction claim
A researcher at a frontier lab bet that the Navier–Stokes Millennium Prize problem would remain unsolved past 2027 and expected it to take until 2030.
Unresolved speaker · Noam Brown – Agent swarms, alignment, & recursive self-improvement · 17 Sep 2026
In their words
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“I mean, literally two weeks before we got Navier-Stokes, I was talking with a researcher at a frontier lab about how long it would take to get a millennium prize.”
“And he was willing to bet me a thousand dollars that it would take that it would take past 2027.”
“And he thought it would take until 2030,”34:52Report a misattribution
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