causal claim
Greater intelligence, better technology, and good work provide more opportunities to make discoveries.
Scott Alexander · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“You get more lottery tickets for these discoveries when you are intelligent,”
“when you have good technology,”
“when you're doing good work.”Play from 1:12:06Report a misattribution
90%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
70%importance to the conversation
96%confidence the claim was read correctly