The speaker believes AI is already close to human-level ELO and says the discussed scenario would fail to occur only if AI capability growth asymptoted just before crossing that level.

“yeah i mean i agree it would be very i mean the only way for this to not happen is if like as you said somehow asymptotes like just before basically because we're already pretty close in my opinion to like where we'll start crossing like the human elo score and so we'll need to asymptote before that and like that's the only way you know in this scenario you post where like somehow we're sitting here in 2035 and like everything”