prediction claim
The speaker predicts that all low-hanging fruit will have been exhausted by 2030.
Dwarkesh Patel · Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research? · 11 Aug 2026
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“but i feel like one effect will be that we will have gotten rid of all the low-hanging fruits by 2030”Play from 12:08Report a misattribution
75%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
80%importance to the conversation
90%confidence the claim was read correctly