4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
causal claim

Even a large relative ratio between two data points may not indicate a good sample, because an energy-based model does not provide an absolute score in this setting.

Alexander Mattick · Why Scaling Prediction Cannot Create Intelligence - Alexander Mattick · 21 Sep 2026

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“And you still get kind of the the relative difference between two two points. Of course the downside and what makes it hard f for this to be generative is even if the ratio between two points might be really large, it still might be really really bad, because you don't have an absolute score. It's like saying well this movie is a five. Well, five out of five, five out of ten, five out of a hundred. Like it doesn't tell you enough to actually figure out whether it's a good sample or a bad sample. And actually”
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