Savlar4 sources healthy · latest episode 20 Oct 2026
descriptive claim

The takeoff model assumes that adding more parallel AI minds yields strongly diminishing returns during the middle stage.

Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

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“how much faster algorithmic progress would be going the progress multiplier for the middle level we basically do assume that like you get massive diminution returns to having more minds running in parallel and so we totally buy all of that and”
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