prediction claim
Other AI Futures Project members generally forecast superintelligence later than the speaker, with estimates around 2029 or 2031.
Unidentified speaker · Three Red Lines We're About to Cross Toward AGI (Daniel Kokotajlo, Gary Marcus, Dan Hendrycks) · 24 Jun 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“Now the other people at AI Futures Project tended to be somewhat more optimistic than me. They tended to think it would take longer to get to superintelligence.”
“They thought it would take longer, like 2029,”
“2031,”
“something”
“like that.”Play from 47:31Report a misattribution
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