opinion claim
Extrapolations based on factors such as compute cannot be made in a fully closed-form way.
Tim Scarfe · Three Red Lines We're About to Cross Toward AGI (Daniel Kokotajlo, Gary Marcus, Dan Hendrycks) · 24 Jun 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“like there's one way to extrapolate on the basis of things like compute.”
“like nobody can really do this in a closed form way.”Play from 1:03:38Report a misattribution
90%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
55%importance to the conversation
96%confidence the claim was read correctly