4 sources healthy · latest episode 9 Nov 2026
descriptive claim

SPEAKER_00 says that small changes to scenario parameters can lead to a very different resulting world, analogous to a hash function's sensitivity to its input.

Dwarkesh Patel · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025

In their words

The transcript segments this claim was taken from

“The thing I want to point out is that this your conclusions about whether a world ends up as a result of changing many of these parameters is almost like a hash function.”
“You change it slightly and you just get it like a very different world on the other end.”
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