descriptive claim
The team recognizes that its forecast could be either an underestimate or an overestimate.
Daniel Kokotajlo · AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo · 3 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“We, there are a bunch of ways in which we could be underestimating and there are a bunch of ways in which we could be overestimating.”Play from 23:16Report a misattribution
95%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
55%importance to the conversation
98%confidence the claim was read correctly