prediction claim
Greater economic activity creates more opportunities for discovery, and these processes could accelerate; there is no fundamental reason economic growth cannot substantially exceed its current pace.
Unidentified speaker · AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu · 17 Apr 2025
In their words
The transcript segments this claim was taken from
“so you just discover more things more economic activity means we have more exposed surface area to have more discoveries like all of these are things that have happened in our past but there's no reason that they couldn't speed up like the fundamental thing is that there's no reason fundamentally why economic growth”
“can't be much faster than this today like it's probably about as fast right now just because humans are such an important bottleneck they both supply the labor they play crucial roles in the process of like discovery of various kinds of productivity growth there's just strong complementarity to some extent with capital that you can't substitute machines and so on for humans very well so the growth of the economy and growth productivity just ends up being bottlenecks”Play from 1:25:53Report a misattribution
75%how strongly it was put, not whether it is true
90%importance to the conversation
88%confidence the claim was read correctly